Addition Rule vs Multiplication Rule

Both terms below come up in the same part of the course, and students mix them up. Here is each one defined on its own, side by side, so you can see where they part company.

Addition rule

Probability

The addition rule finds the probability that at least one of two events happens: add the two probabilities, then subtract the overlap.

The general addition rule is P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B), where \cup is the union symbol (A or B) and \cap is the intersection symbol (A and B). You subtract the overlap because every outcome sitting in both events was already counted once in P(A)P(A) and a second time in P(B)P(B). That subtraction disappears only when the two events are mutually exclusive, because then they share no outcomes and P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0. Drawing one card from a standard 52-card deck, P(heart or king)=13/52+4/521/52=16/520.3077P(\text{heart or king}) = 13/52 + 4/52 - 1/52 = 16/52 \approx 0.3077.

Full entry for addition rule

Multiplication rule (independent events)

Probability

The multiplication rule says the probability that two events both happen is the product of their probabilities, but only when the events are independent.

For independent events the rule is P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B), where \cap is the intersection symbol (A and B). Independence means learning that one event happened does not change the probability of the other, so the second factor never has to be adjusted. Flipping a fair coin and rolling a fair die are independent, so P(heads and a 6)=0.5×1/6=1/120.0833P(\text{heads and a 6}) = 0.5 \times 1/6 = 1/12 \approx 0.0833. If the events are not independent you must use the general multiplication rule with a conditional probability instead.

Full entry for multiplication rule

Where each one fits in the course