Multiplication rule (independent events)

The multiplication rule says the probability that two events both happen is the product of their probabilities, but only when the events are independent.

For independent events the rule is P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B), where \cap is the intersection symbol (A and B). Independence means learning that one event happened does not change the probability of the other, so the second factor never has to be adjusted. Flipping a fair coin and rolling a fair die are independent, so P(heads and a 6)=0.5×1/6=1/120.0833P(\text{heads and a 6}) = 0.5 \times 1/6 = 1/12 \approx 0.0833. If the events are not independent you must use the general multiplication rule with a conditional probability instead.

Where this comes up

More probability terms, or browse the full statistics glossary.