Union vs intersection in probability

By Jude Wallis · Published

The union of two events, A or B, is the event that at least one of them happens, and you find its probability with the addition rule. The intersection, A and B, is the joint event that both happen at the same time. Union is the 'or' event; intersection is the 'and' event.

AP Statistics: Unit 2 (topics 2.5 Mutually Exclusive Events, 2.7 Independent Events and Unions of Events). The intersection (joint probability) is Unit 2 topic 2.5 and the union with the general addition rule is topic 2.7 in the Fall 2026 course. The addition rule P(A union B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A intersect B) and conditional probability P(A|B) = P(A intersect B)/P(B) both appear on the formula sheet. Mutually exclusive events have P(A intersect B) = 0.

Union vs intersection: the short answer

These are the two ways to combine events. The union of AA and BB, written ABA \cup B, is the event that AA happens, or BB happens, or both. The intersection, written ABA \cap B, is the event that AA and BB both happen at the same time.

The one-word tests are 'or' for union and 'and' for intersection. They are linked by the general addition rule, which uses the intersection to correct the union, so getting the two straight is the first step in almost every probability problem.

What a union is

The union ABA \cup B is the event that AA or BB (or both) occurs. The 'or' here is inclusive: outcomes in AA only, in BB only, and in both all count as part of the union. Rolling an even number or a number greater than 4 on a die, for example, is a union.

You find its probability with the general addition rule: P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B). You add the two probabilities, then subtract the intersection once, because outcomes in both events got counted twice when you added. When the events cannot both happen, the intersection is 0 and the rule collapses to simple addition.

What an intersection is

The intersection ABA \cap B is the event that both AA and BB occur, sometimes called the joint probability. Drawing a card that is both a heart and a face card is an intersection: it must satisfy both conditions at once.

How you compute P(AB)P(A \cap B) depends on whether the events are independent. When they are independent, P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B). When they are not, use the general multiplication rule P(AB)=P(A)P(BA)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B \mid A), where P(BA)P(B \mid A) is the probability of BB given that AA has occurred. If the two events are mutually exclusive, they cannot both happen, so P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0.

Union vs intersection side by side

FeatureUnion ABA \cup BIntersection ABA \cap B
Plain-English wordOr (inclusive)And
Event describedAt least one of AA, BB happensBoth AA and BB happen
Symbol\cup\cap
Main formulaP(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)P(A)P(BA)P(A) \cdot P(B \mid A)
If independentSame addition rule; P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B)P(A)P(B)P(A) \cdot P(B)
If mutually exclusiveP(A)+P(B)P(A) + P(B)00
Size vs each eventAt least as large as eitherNo larger than the smaller one

How the addition rule ties them together

The union and the intersection meet in the general addition rule: P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B). The subtraction is the whole point. When you add P(A)P(A) and P(B)P(B), any outcome that lies in both events is counted once in each sum, so it is counted twice total. Subtracting the intersection removes that double count exactly once.

This is why the intersection is not just a separate topic; you need it to get the union right. If the events are mutually exclusive, the intersection is 0 and there is nothing to subtract, which is the special case many students remember as 'just add them.' That shortcut only works when P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0.

The classic mix-up and how to avoid it

The classic error is swapping 'and' with 'or', which sends you to the wrong operation entirely. A close second is using P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) when the events overlap, which double-counts the shared outcomes and gives a probability that is too big, sometimes above 1.

Three habits keep them apart. First, translate the sentence: 'and' means intersection, 'or' means union. Second, always subtract the intersection in the addition rule unless you have checked the events are mutually exclusive. Third, sanity-check the size: a union is at least as likely as either event alone, while an intersection is no more likely than the smaller of the two, and a final probability above 1 always signals a double-count error.

Where this fits in AP Statistics

Union and intersection are core to Unit 2. The intersection appears in topic 2.5 on mutually exclusive events, and the union with the general addition rule is topic 2.7, alongside independence. Both the addition rule and conditional probability are printed on the Fall 2026 formula sheet, so you are expected to apply them, not memorize them from scratch.

A frequent trap gives events that are not mutually exclusive and rewards students who remember to subtract the intersection. Watching the language of a question, 'and' versus 'or', decides which rule to reach for, and it connects to telling disjoint from independent events, which are easy to confuse but mean different things.

One card: heart or face card

Draw one card at random from a standard deck of 52. Let AA be the event the card is a heart, and BB the event it is a face card (jack, queen, or king). Find P(AB)P(A \cap B) and P(AB)P(A \cup B).

  1. Count hearts: there are 13, so P(A)=1352P(A) = \frac{13}{52}.

  2. Count face cards: jack, queen, king in each of 4 suits gives 3×4=123 \times 4 = 12, so P(B)=1252P(B) = \frac{12}{52}.

  3. Find the intersection: hearts that are also face cards are the jack, queen, and king of hearts, which is 3 cards, so P(AB)=352P(A \cap B) = \frac{3}{52}.

  4. Apply the addition rule: P(AB)=1352+1252352P(A \cup B) = \frac{13}{52} + \frac{12}{52} - \frac{3}{52}.

  5. Add the first two numerators: 13+12=2513 + 12 = 25.

  6. Subtract the intersection numerator: 253=2225 - 3 = 22, so P(AB)=2252P(A \cup B) = \frac{22}{52}.

  7. Simplify: 2252=11260.423\frac{22}{52} = \frac{11}{26} \approx 0.423.

The intersection is P(AB)=3520.058P(A \cap B) = \frac{3}{52} \approx 0.058, and the union is P(AB)=2252=11260.423P(A \cup B) = \frac{22}{52} = \frac{11}{26} \approx 0.423. Subtracting the 3 shared cards is what keeps the 3 hearts-that-are-face-cards from being counted twice.

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between union and intersection?

The union ABA \cup B is the event that at least one of AA or BB happens (the 'or' event), while the intersection ABA \cap B is the event that both happen at once (the 'and' event). Union uses the addition rule; intersection uses multiplication or a joint probability.

Why do you subtract the intersection in the addition rule?

Because adding P(A)P(A) and P(B)P(B) counts every outcome in both events twice, once in each sum. Subtracting P(AB)P(A \cap B) removes that extra count so each shared outcome is counted exactly once. If the events are mutually exclusive, the intersection is 0 and there is nothing to subtract.

When does P(A and B) equal P(A) times P(B)?

Only when the events are independent, meaning one occurring does not change the probability of the other. If they are dependent, use the general multiplication rule P(AB)=P(A)P(BA)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B \mid A) instead, with the conditional probability of BB given AA.

Does 'or' include the case where both events happen?

Yes. In probability, 'or' is inclusive, so ABA \cup B covers AA only, BB only, and both together. That inclusive 'both' region is exactly the intersection you subtract once in the addition rule to avoid double-counting it.