Multiplication Rule vs General Multiplication Rule
Both terms below come up in the same part of the course, and students mix them up. Here is each one defined on its own, side by side, so you can see where they part company.
Multiplication rule (independent events)
Probability
The multiplication rule says the probability that two events both happen is the product of their probabilities, but only when the events are independent.
For independent events the rule is , where is the intersection symbol (A and B). Independence means learning that one event happened does not change the probability of the other, so the second factor never has to be adjusted. Flipping a fair coin and rolling a fair die are independent, so . If the events are not independent you must use the general multiplication rule with a conditional probability instead.
General multiplication rule
Probability
The general multiplication rule says P(A and B) equals P(A) times the conditional probability of B given A, and it holds for any two events.
The rule is , where is the intersection symbol (A and B) and is read the probability of B given A. No independence is required, because the conditional factor already accounts for any way the first event shifts the second. Drawing two cards from a standard 52-card deck without replacement, . When the events happen to be independent, and the rule collapses to the simple product.