Normal approximation to the binomial
The normal approximation to the binomial models a binomial count with a normal curve of mean np and standard deviation the square root of np(1-p).
When is large, the stair-step shape of a binomial distribution smooths out into a normal curve with mean and standard deviation (mu and sigma). The usual check is that and are both at least 10, the same Large Counts idea that sits behind inference for proportions. With and , and both clear 10, so the count is roughly normal with mean and standard deviation , putting about 95% of counts within standard deviations of the mean, between and . Calculators return exact binomial probabilities now, so this approximation matters most as the reason (p-hat, the sample proportion) has a normal sampling distribution.
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