Continuous random variable
By Jude Wallis · Updated
A continuous random variable can take any value in an interval, so its probabilities come from area under a density curve, not from single points.
A random variable is continuous when its possible values fill an interval instead of sitting in a list, so between any two of them there is always another. Probability is not attached to the values at all. It is attached to a density curve, and is the area under that curve between and , with the area under the whole curve equal to 1.
Suppose your wait for a bus is equally likely anywhere from 0 to 10 minutes. The density is flat at height , so , and as well, since both windows are three minutes wide.
Now the fact this entry exists for: , and the same holds at every single value. The window from 2.99 to 3.01 carries ; shrink its width toward zero and the area goes with it. "So the wait can never be exactly 3 minutes" is the conclusion students draw, and it is false. The bus arrives at some exact instant every time, and whatever instant that turns out to be had probability 0 beforehand. Across values that cannot be written as a list, probability 0 and impossible stop meaning the same thing. Only the values outside 0 to 10 are genuinely ruled out here.
The companion trap is reading the height of the curve as a probability. Density is probability per unit of , so it can exceed 1: a normal curve with standard deviation 0.2 peaks at . Nothing is broken. The curve is tall because it is narrow, and its total area is still 1.
Continuous random variables reach the course through the normal distribution, topic 2.11 of Unit 2, where every question is an area between two boundaries rather than a value read off a table of probabilities.
Every one of those between-two-boundaries areas is a definite integral of the density function, which is why a single point has probability 0: an integral across an interval of zero width is zero. CalcLearn covers the same object from the other side in area under a curve.
More random variables and distributions terms, or browse the full statistics glossary.