Alternative hypothesis

By Jude Wallis · Published

The alternative hypothesis, written Ha, is the claim about a population parameter that decides which departures from the null count as evidence.

HaH_a (H-a) is a claim about the same population parameter that H0H_0 names, written with <<, >>, or \neq instead of an equals sign, so it covers a range of values rather than one. Its job is to say which departures from the null count as evidence, and it is chosen from the question being investigated before any data are seen.

That choice moves the cutoffs, not just the wording. With H0:μ=100H_0: \mu = 100, σ\sigma (sigma) known to be 15, n=25n = 25 and α=0.05\alpha = 0.05, the standard error is 3. Under Ha:μ>100H_a: \mu > 100 the whole 5 percent sits in the upper tail and the test rejects once xˉ\bar{x} (x-bar) passes 104.93. Under Ha:μ100H_a: \mu \neq 100 that 5 percent splits into 2.5 percent per tail and the cutoffs move out to 94.12 and 105.88. A sample mean of 105.2 rejects under the first and does not under the second, on identical data.

The misuse to name: "the data came out high, so I will use Ha:μ>100H_a: \mu > 100." Picking the direction after seeing which way the sample fell means you would have picked the other direction had it fallen the other way, so the test really rejects whenever z>1.645|z| > 1.645. That has probability 0.10 under a true null, exactly double the 0.05 you claimed.

Write HaH_a about the parameter, never the statistic: Ha:xˉ>100H_a: \bar{x} > 100 is not a hypothesis, since xˉ\bar{x} is a number already sitting in front of you. And a one-sided alternative gives up the other direction completely. The test above has power 0.0005 against a true mean of 95, which is blind for practical purposes.

Setting up the pair of hypotheses is AP Statistics topic 3.5, Setting Up a Test for a Population Proportion, and topic 4.4, Setting Up a Test for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference.

Where this comes up

More hypothesis testing terms, or browse the full statistics glossary.