Predicted value (y-hat)
The predicted value y-hat is the response a regression model gives for a chosen x, found by substituting that x into the equation of the line.
The predicted value is the height of the regression line above a chosen , not a value anyone observed. You get it by substituting: with (read y-hat), an of 4 gives . If the individual with actually had , the residual is , so the model underpredicted by 2. Predicted values stay trustworthy only inside the range of used to fit the line; outside that range you are extrapolating.
Where this comes up
More regression and correlation terms, or browse the full statistics glossary.