Poisson distribution

The Poisson distribution models the count of events in a fixed interval when events occur independently at a constant average rate.

The Poisson distribution counts how many times something happens in a fixed window of time or space, assuming events arrive independently at a steady average rate λ\lambda (lambda). If a help desk averages 3 calls per hour, the probability of exactly 2 calls in an hour is 32e32!=9(0.0498)20.224\frac{3^2 e^{-3}}{2!} = \frac{9(0.0498)}{2} \approx 0.224. The general formula is P(X=k)=λkeλk!P(X = k) = \frac{\lambda^k e^{-\lambda}}{k!}, and both the mean and the variance equal λ\lambda. The Poisson distribution is not part of AP Statistics at all, though it is standard in college probability and statistics courses.

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