Expected count
An expected count is how many observations a category would get if the null hypothesis were exactly true; it is the baseline in a chi-square test.
Expected counts are the tallies a chi-square model predicts for each cell when the null hypothesis holds, and the test measures how far the observed counts drift from them. For a two-way table, each cell's expected count is . For example, in a 200-person table a cell whose row totals 80 and column totals 50 has . Every expected count should be at least 5 for the chi-square approximation to be trustworthy.
More hypothesis testing terms, or browse the full statistics glossary.