Critical value
By Jude Wallis · Published
A critical value is a cutoff from a reference distribution, such as z or t, that sets a confidence interval's width or a test's rejection boundary.
A critical value is a quantile of a reference distribution, chosen so that a stated area falls beyond it. For a confidence interval at level it is the number (z-star) or (t-star) with the middle of the curve lying between and . For a significance test it is the point cutting off (alpha) in whichever tail the alternative hypothesis points to. One idea, two jobs: it sets a width, or it sets a boundary.
The standard normal values, listed in full on the z-table:
| confidence | |
|---|---|
| 90% | 1.645 |
| 95% | 1.960 |
| 99% | 2.576 |
At 95%, 1.960 is the value leaving 0.025 in each tail, so 0.95 of the standard normal curve sits between and . With the population standard deviation unknown you switch to at the right degrees of freedom, and it is larger than the matching at every finite df. At 95% the t-table gives 2.262 at 9 df, 2.064 at 24 df, and 1.984 at 99 df, closing on 1.960 from above without reaching it.
The error worth naming is "the critical value for 95% confidence is 1.96." It is 1.96 only when the reference curve is the standard normal. A mean from a sample of 12 uses with 11 df, where the critical value is 2.201, and with a normal population, reaching out only 1.96 standard errors captures the true mean 92.4% of the time rather than 95%. The interval is about 11% too narrow and it undercovers by more than two points.
Not every critical value comes in a pair. The chi-square distribution is right skewed and its tests use the upper tail alone, so there is a single cutoff: 7.815 at 3 degrees of freedom and , from the chi-square table. A critical value also marks only the boundary. How far past it you landed is what a p-value reports, which is why two tests can share a critical value and carry very different evidence.
Where this comes up
- How to Calculate a Confidence Interval (Mean, Proportion)Guide
- Margin of error vs standard errorComparison
- Margin of error and sample size practice problemsPractice
- z-interval vs t-interval: when to use eachComparison
- Why Is My Confidence Interval So Wide?Guide
- Confidence interval practice problemsPractice
- Confidence level vs confidence intervalComparison
- Is chi-square goodness of fit on the AP exam?Guide
23 pages on the site use this term.
More confidence intervals terms, or browse the full statistics glossary.