Interval Estimate vs Point Estimate

Both terms below come up in the same part of the course, and students mix them up. Here is each one defined on its own, side by side, so you can see where they part company.

Interval estimate

Confidence intervals

An interval estimate reports a range of plausible values for a parameter, formed as a point estimate plus or minus a margin of error.

A point estimate gives you one number, which is almost certainly a little off; an interval estimate admits that by attaching a reach on each side. The general form is point estimate±margin of error\text{point estimate} \pm \text{margin of error}, and a confidence interval is the version that comes with a stated confidence level. For example, if 62% of a sample supports a measure and the margin of error is 4 percentage points, the interval estimate runs from 58% to 66%. Wider intervals are more likely to capture the parameter but tell you less about where it sits.

Full entry for interval estimate

Point estimate

Sampling distributions

A point estimate is a single number computed from sample data and used as the best guess for an unknown population parameter.

A point estimate is your one-number summary of a parameter before you attach any margin of uncertainty. Common ones are the sample mean xˉ\bar{x} (read x-bar) for the population mean μ\mu (the Greek letter mu), and the sample proportion p^\hat{p} (read p-hat) for the population proportion pp. For example, if 63 of 200 sampled voters approve, the point estimate of the population approval rate is p^=63/200=0.315\hat{p} = 63/200 = 0.315. A point estimate alone hides sampling variability, so it is usually paired with a margin of error to form a confidence interval.

Full entry for point estimate

Where each one fits in the course